History is not a good predictive tool for the future any longer!
Published on 100 Resilient Cities | Bryna Lipper and Ede Ijjasz-Vasquez
Planning must always allow for a certain degree of uncertainty. However, two major trends make past precedents especially hard to rely on as we design for the future. Climate change and technological innovation continue to disrupt city systems in unpredictable ways, and at a faster pace.
In the next 50 years, the built environment will expand to keep pace with rapid urbanization. By some estimates, close to 60% of the infrastructure needed to serve the population projections has yet to be built or planned for. As cities accommodate these trends, the decisions they make now and in the next several years will be very difficult to change.
Our strategies for building resilience today must form the basis for our cities becoming more adaptive to the unanticipated risks of tomorrow. They must account for the uncertainties of climate change and intended and unintended consequence of new technology.